Following the money: from your wallet to the prop firm's bank account. The business model they don't want you to understand.
You just failed your prop firm challenge. $300 gone. Maybe $500. Maybe you went for the $200K account and dropped $1,000. You're frustrated, disappointed, maybe even questioning whether this trading thing is for you.
Your first instinct is to analyze what went wrong. Was it that impulsive trade on NFP? The revenge trade after hitting your daily loss limit? Maybe you were just unlucky β the market gapped against you overnight, or your broker's spread widened at the worst possible moment.
But here's the question nobody asks: Where did that money actually go?
Not "why did I fail" β we all know the usual answers. Poor risk management. Emotional trading. Bad market conditions. Overleveraging. The list goes on. No, the real question is more fundamental: What happens to your $300 after it leaves your bank account?
Think about it. You paid $300 for a challenge. You traded on a demo account with simulated money. You hit a drawdown limit. The firm emails you: "Unfortunately, your account has been breached." And then... what? Where does that $300 live now?
"The house always wins" is a clichΓ© for a reason. But in prop trading, understanding exactly HOW the house wins β and by how much β is the first step to playing a smarter game. This isn't about conspiracy theories or calling prop firms scams. It's about understanding the business you're participating in.
We spent months analyzing public financial records from Czech and UK company registries, studying leaked internal documents that circulated on trading forums, and examining data from over 300,000 prop firm accounts provided by FPFX Technologies, one of the largest white-label providers in the industry.
What we found isn't a scandal β it's just business. But it's a business model that every trader should understand before they fund another challenge. Because once you understand where the money goes, you'll understand why the rules are what they are, why some firms offer 90% discounts, and why the industry has seen 80+ firms collapse in 2024 alone.
The prop trading industry has exploded beyond anyone's predictions. What started as a niche service for aspiring traders who couldn't afford to fund their own accounts has become a $20+ billion global industry with over 2,000 firms competing for your challenge fees.
To put that in perspective: the entire global video game industry generates about $180 billion annually. Prop trading is now roughly 10% the size of gaming β and it barely existed a decade ago. The growth has been exponential, driven by social media marketing, affiliate networks, and the dream of trading "other people's money" without risking your own capital.
But here's the uncomfortable truth that makes this entire industry possible: 90-95% of all traders who start a challenge will fail.
This isn't a criticism β it's a mathematical necessity. The business model only works because most traders lose. Their challenge fees fund the payouts to the small percentage who succeed. It's a transfer system, with the prop firm taking a cut for facilitating the process.
This isn't speculation or estimates from disgruntled traders. This is hard data from FPFX Technologies, the white-label provider behind dozens of prop firms, analyzing over 300,000 trading accounts across multiple platforms and firms.
Let those numbers sink in. If you're reading this article, there's a 95% chance your next challenge will end in failure. There's a 99.5% chance you won't receive a single payout. And yet, millions of traders continue to fund challenges every month, convinced they'll be in that tiny minority who makes it through.
The question isn't whether these odds are fair β it's whether you understand them before you play.
FTMO is the largest prop firm by revenue, and because they're headquartered in the Czech Republic, their financial statements are public record. This gives us a rare window into the economics of a major prop firm β numbers that most competitors guard jealously.
Here's what the numbers tell us about 2024:
Let's put that "house edge" in perspective. When you walk into a casino and play blackjack with perfect basic strategy, the house edge is about 0.5%. Roulette? Around 2.7% for European wheels, 5.26% for American. Slot machines range from 2-15% depending on the casino and machine.
FTMO's model gives them roughly 10-25x the edge of a typical casino game. And unlike casino gambling, many traders don't even realize they're playing against these odds.
Now, to be fair to FTMO, they're one of the most transparent firms in the industry. They publish payout statistics, they've been operating since 2015 without major payout issues, and they've paid out over $450 million to traders. They're not hiding these numbers β most traders just never look for them.
The 51% "house edge" isn't comparable to casino gambling because trading involves skill. A skilled trader can potentially overcome these odds, while no amount of skill helps you beat a slot machine. The comparison is meant to illustrate the magnitude of the business model, not to suggest prop trading is gambling.
The real question is: where does that 51% go? We'll break that down in detail later, but first, let's trace the journey of a typical trader through the system.
Let's trace what happens to 1,000 traders who start a prop firm challenge. These numbers are based on aggregate industry data, so individual firm results may vary, but this represents the typical experience.
The math is brutal but important to understand. If 1,000 traders each pay $400 for a challenge, that's $400,000 in revenue. If only 4 of them receive an average payout of $3,000, that's $12,000 in payouts β a 97% margin for the firm.
Of course, the actual economics are more complex. Some traders buy multiple challenges. Some of the few who get funded become consistently profitable and receive multiple large payouts. Some firms have better pass rates than others. But the fundamental dynamic remains: the many fund the few, with the firm taking a significant cut.
This isn't necessarily unfair β it's a business model that provides value to both parties. Traders get access to capital they couldn't otherwise afford to risk. Firms get revenue from challenge fees and a share of profitable trading. But you should understand this dynamic before you participate.
Here's something most traders don't fully grasp: the vast majority of "funded" accounts aren't trading real money.
When you pass your evaluation and receive your "funded" account, you're typically still trading on a demo account with simulated funds. The prop firm hasn't allocated any real capital to your account. Your trades aren't being executed in the live market. You're trading against a server that mimics market conditions.
This isn't a secret β it's disclosed in most firms' terms of service. But it's often buried in legal language that few traders read carefully. The industry prefers terms like "simulated funded account" or "performance-based compensation" rather than plainly stating "you're still on demo."
From the firm's perspective, this approach is entirely rational:
The transition from demo to live typically happens only after a trader has demonstrated consistent profitability over an extended period β often weeks or months of positive results. Some firms never transition traders to live at all, operating purely as "simulated trading services" that pay bonuses based on performance.
Why this matters to you: If you lose your "funded" account in the first few weeks, the firm lost nothing. They kept your challenge fee, and no real capital was ever at risk. The demo-to-live transition is the real gatekeeping mechanism β not the evaluation itself.
This also explains why some firms can offer seemingly generous 90% profit splits. When you're trading on a demo account, your "profits" aren't real profits for the firm to split β they're just numbers on a screen. The firm is essentially paying you a bonus based on your simulated performance, funded by the challenge fees from traders who failed.
The prop firm business model only works when more money comes in from failed challenges than goes out in payouts. This seems obvious, but the implications are profound β and they explain why 80-100 prop firms shut down or exited in 2024 alone, according to Finance Magnates Intelligence.
The pattern that leads to firm collapse is almost always the same. We've seen it play out with MyForexFunds, True Forex Funds, The Funded Trader, and dozens of smaller operations:
The fundamental problem is that many firms optimize for short-term growth rather than long-term sustainability. Deep discounts bring in thousands of new traders, but if too many of those traders pass their evaluations and request payouts, the math stops working.
Consider a simple example: A firm normally charges $400 for a challenge and expects a 5% pass rate. They need 20 failed challenges to cover each funded trader's expected payouts. Now they run a 75% off sale β $100 per challenge. Same 5% pass rate means they need 80 failed challenges to cover each funded trader. If the sale attracts traders who are actually skilled (because the low price point attracts more serious traders), the pass rate might jump to 10%, and suddenly the model is underwater.
Based on industry analysis, public financial disclosures, and conversations with former prop firm employees, here's the approximate breakdown of where a typical challenge fee goes. Note that this varies significantly between firms β well-run operations will have different allocations than struggling ones.
Let's break down each category in more detail:
This is the pool of money used to pay successful traders. Well-capitalized firms maintain substantial reserves to ensure they can always meet payout obligations. FTMO, for example, has paid out over $450 million since founding β they need significant capital reserves to maintain that track record.
This is where a huge chunk of your fee goes. YouTube sponsorships, affiliate commissions, social media ads, and influencer payments. When you see a trading YouTuber with a discount code, they're typically earning 15-30% of every challenge purchased through their link. Some top affiliates earn six or seven figures annually from prop firm referrals.
Running a prop firm requires significant infrastructure: trading platforms (often white-labeled from providers like FPFX or Match-Trader), data feeds, servers, risk management systems, dashboards, and mobile apps. Many firms use white-label solutions that charge per-account fees plus revenue share.
Customer support, compliance, finance, management, office space. Larger firms like FTMO employ hundreds of people. Even smaller operations need teams to handle support tickets, review accounts, process payouts, and manage the business.
Credit card processing, crypto payments, bank transfer fees, chargebacks. The prop firm industry has high chargeback rates (frustrated traders disputing charges), which increases processing costs and requires working with specialized payment providers.
15-25% of every challenge fee goes to marketing and affiliates. This creates a massive ecosystem of YouTube reviewers, Discord group owners, "trading educators," and social media influencers who are financially incentivized to promote prop firms β whether or not those firms are actually the best choice for you.
The affiliate model isn't inherently bad. Affiliates provide valuable information and comparisons that help traders find firms. But you should understand that when someone recommends a prop firm, they're often earning $50-150+ per person who signs up through their link.
This isn't to say you should ignore all affiliate content. Many affiliates provide genuinely useful information and comparisons. But you should apply extra skepticism when someone is financially incentivized to recommend a product. Cross-reference with independent sources, check Trustpilot reviews, and look for red flags before committing your money.
The affiliate system also explains why you see so many prop firm comparison sites and "best prop firm" lists. These sites earn commissions on every sign-up, which means they have incentive to rank firms that pay higher commissions rather than firms that are actually best for traders.
Understanding the business model doesn't mean you should avoid prop firms β it means you should participate with open eyes. Here are actionable steps to protect yourself and maximize your chances of being in that 0.5% who actually get paid:
With a 5-14% pass rate, expect to buy 7-20 challenges before passing one. If challenges cost $300-500, your realistic investment is $2,100-10,000 before achieving funding.
Math check: $400 challenge Γ 10 attempts = $4,000 expected cost before first funding. Can you afford this without financial stress?
Stick with firms that have verifiable, substantial payout histories. The leaders include:
Occasional sales are normal. But firms offering permanent 80-90% discounts may be prioritizing volume over sustainability. If a $400 challenge is always available for $50, ask yourself how they plan to fund payouts.
Don't accumulate large balances in your funded account. Take payouts as soon as you're eligible. Money in your personal bank account is the only money that's truly yours. Firms can change rules, go bankrupt, or freeze accounts β but they can't touch money you've already withdrawn.
Yes, actually read them. Look specifically for:
The biggest waste of challenge fees is attempting them before you have a proven, profitable strategy. Trade on demo or with small personal capital until you have at least 3 months of consistent profitability. Then β and only then β attempt a challenge.
Prop firms aren't scams. They're businesses operating exactly as designed. They provide a real service β access to trading capital β and they generate profit by taking a cut of the flow between unsuccessful and successful traders.
The question isn't whether they're legitimate β it's whether you understand the game you're playing.
Your $300 challenge fee isn't disappearing into a void. It's funding payouts to the 0.3-0.5% who succeed, paying affiliates who referred you, maintaining trading platforms, covering operational costs, and generating profit for the firm's owners.
The system needs 95%+ of traders to fail for the math to work. That's not a flaw β it's the design. And now that you understand it, you can make an informed decision about whether to participate.
The house edge is real. But unlike a casino, you can improve your odds through skill, discipline, and proper risk management.
The traders who get funded aren't lucky β they're prepared. Be one of them.
If you choose to participate, do so with realistic expectations. Budget for multiple failed attempts. Choose established firms. Withdraw profits quickly. And never risk money you can't afford to lose β even if you're technically trading "their" capital, you're still risking your challenge fees.
This investigation drew on multiple data sources to construct a comprehensive picture of prop firm economics:
Note: Specific numbers vary between firms and over time. The figures presented represent industry estimates based on available data and may not reflect any individual firm's exact financials.
Approximately 30-49% goes to payout reserves for successful traders, 15-25% to marketing/affiliates, 8-12% to technology, 6-10% to operations, 3-5% to payment processing, and 10-30% as net profit to the firm.
According to FPFX Tech data from 300,000+ accounts, only 0.3-0.5% of all traders who start a prop firm challenge ever receive a single payout. While 5-14% pass evaluations, only about half of those ever get paid.
FTMO generated $329 million in revenue in 2024, up 53% from $213 million in 2023. The global prop trading industry is estimated at $20+ billion with over 2,000 firms operating worldwide.
Most prop firm accounts - both evaluations AND funded accounts - are demo/simulated accounts. Firms typically only move consistently profitable traders to live accounts after weeks or months of proven performance.
The combination of strict rules (daily loss limits, max drawdown, time limits), psychological pressure of trading with 'someone else's money', and the inherent difficulty of consistent profitability means most traders cannot meet the requirements within the given timeframe.
No, legitimate prop firms are real businesses providing a real service. However, the business model relies on the majority of traders failing. Understanding this dynamic is crucial - you're essentially paying for the opportunity to prove you can be profitable under strict conditions.
Failed challenge fees become the prop firm's revenue. This money funds payouts to successful traders, pays for technology and operations, covers marketing costs, and generates profit for the company. It's a transfer from unsuccessful to successful traders, with the firm taking a cut.
Focus on consistency over big wins, respect daily loss limits religiously, trade only your proven setups, use proper position sizing (0.5-1% risk per trade), and treat the evaluation exactly like you'd trade a real funded account. Most importantly, only attempt challenges when you have a proven track record on demo.
Real data on evaluation success rates from 300,000+ accounts.
Common reasons for payout refusals and how to avoid them.
What "funded" really means at most prop firms.
Why 80+ firms shut down and what it means for traders.
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